W African in crash path of China’s out-of-control rocket
Sopuruchi Onwuka
Incident concerns are very high as the world monitor the uncontrolled re-entry of large debris from a Chinese rocket which is expected to crash along a path that features the West African coasts.
Global space agencies are in attention towards Friday, November 4, when the part of the 21-metric-ton core stage is poised to perform an uncontrolled re-entry into Earth’s atmosphere at 10:21 p.m. ET at around 16 hours.
The re-entry of the lost debris mark the fourth time that a core stage from Long March 5B rocket launched into space by China will crash in an uncontrolled manner, threatening human lives and property.
“On the previous three occasions, debris fell onto an inhabited area along the west coast of Africa; into the Indian Ocean near the Maldives; and in northern Borneo. Mercifully, no one has been injured or killed, but scientists have raised concerns that this could eventually happen,” agency sources stated in reports monitored by The Oracle Today.
The Long March 5B blasted off from Wenchang Space Launch Center in Hainan on Monday, October 31, delivering the third and final module, called Mengtian, to China’s Tiangong space station.
Most rocket stages are brought down with reignited engines, allowing them to be steered away from populated areas, but that did not happen with the Long March 5B. And China’s space agency is accused of not taking the precaution with its heavy-lift launch vehicle, leaving it largely up to chance as to where it might land.
“As on previous occasions, the Aerospace Corporation’s Center for Orbital Reentry and Debris Studies (CORDS) is tracking the object and providing regular updates. The company’s initial prediction suggests the uncontrolled re-entry will happen at 10:21 p.m. ET on Friday, November 4 (Saturday, November 5 at 2:21 a.m. UTC).
“The Aerospace Corporation devises its estimates by analyzing data from the U.S. Space Force’s Space Surveillance Network.
“So now we’re forced to guess as to where the core stage might fall. It’s still too early to know where the debris will land. The possible area in which the core stage might fall, known as the debris footprint, will become constrained over time, but if the prior episodes were of any indication, we won’t really know until the minutes prior to re-entry.
“Objects coming in from space travel at speeds reaching 17,500 miles per hour (28,164 kilometers per hour), which means a one-hour error in the re-entry time translates to a 17,500-mile (28,164 km) error in the predicted crash location.”
