NOI Poll: Tinubu camp kicks, as Obi emerges favourite to win 2023 Presidential elections

Presidential Campaign Council of the All Progressives Congress (APC) candidate in the 2023 General Elections, Asiwaju Bola Tinubu, has raised objections to a recent independent online poll conducted and published by the ANAP Foundation, which found the Labour Party (LP) standard bearer, Dr Peter Obi as favourite to win the election.

According to a NOI Poll published by ANAP Foundation, Obi, the presidential candidate of the Labour Party (LP), is predicted to emerge victorious in the upcoming 2023 elections.

ANAP Foundation is a non-profit organization committed to promoting good governance, founded by Atedo Peterside, the founder of StanbicIBTC Bank.

Peterside who gave a detailed analysis of the poll, Thursday, during an Arise News interview, said Obi is the favourite to win the elections based on the results contained in the poll.

He further asserted that Bola Tinubu of the All Progressives Congress (APC), as well as, Atiku Abubakar of the Peoples Democratic Party are tied in second place, while Senator Rabiu Kwankwaso of the New Nigerian Peoples Party is a distant fourth.

“In every nation and election season, there are always polls and there might be surprises…The interesting thing about this poll is that Peter Obi is in the lead and favourite to win the 2023 elections.

“There is always an outsider in every election…

”Rabiu Kwankwaso fits the profile with quite a substantial number of percentile. This poll is unique because the election is gearing up to be a very closely-contested three-horse race…No candidate is in the clear lead in all the regions.

“Furthermore, Obi’s votes cut across all demographics and not just the youth and the issues for most of the respondents are security and economy,” Peterside noted.

However, reacting to the statement credited to Peterside, Thursday, the APC Presidential Campaign Council declared that its candidate, Asiwaju Bola Tinubu, ‘is unconcerned with NOI surveys,’ further adding that it is ‘suspect, unrealistic, and contradictory.’

A statement by Mr. Bayo Onanuga, the Director of Media and Publicityfor the Campaign group, also dismissed the poll’s permutations of the presidential race.

“Our party is putting every necessary machinery in motion to win the Federal elections with a margin that will be too wide to contest.

“Our candidate, Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu recorded the highest votes of a senator across the country under the Social Democratic Party in July 1992. He will do it on the nationwide scale on February 25, 2023”, the council boasted.

Results of the suvey conducted by NOI Polls had placed Peter Obi ahead of APC’s Tinubu.

The poll results showed a significant lead for Obi; with 21% of voters proposing to vote for him if the presidential election were to be conducted today.

Also, 13% each proposed to vote for APC’s Tinubu and Alhaji Atiku Abubakar of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), who were both tied in second place.

Kwankwaso of the NNPP was a distant fourth; with 3% of voters proposing to vote for him.

The foregoing was disclosed in a statement by ANAP Foundation which announced the results of the poll.

“We are unperturbed by these dubious and unreliable statistics…Our research shows that NOI Polls have been off the mark at critical election periods in recent times.”

It noted for example that preparatory to the March 2015 presidential elections; NOI published in October 2014 the results of a “Viability Poll”. The poll used the concepts of Familiarity and Net Favourability Position to survey.

“In the results, NOI claimed that President Goodluck Jonathan has the best overall familiarity rating at 99% and Net Favourability Probability of ±25.

“By contrast, NOI dismissed the then All Progressives Congress candidate; Muhammadu Buhari as a ‘borderline candidate’ who needed ‘huge public relations’ to shore up his performance.

“But when the Nigerian people went to the polls, who won? The APC candidate and now President, Muhammadu Buhari.

“This is not the only instance when the NOI has turned its political bias in an election period to fraudulent statistics,” the council stated.